McCarthy finalizes the time for fleeing to Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen calls for avoiding the war, and the U.S. military has already begun preparations

Taiwan is China’s Taiwan. This is a historical and legal fact, and it is also a broad consensus of the international community. Due to the United States’ interference in China’s internal affairs, the Taiwan issue has become the most important and sensitive core issue between China and the United States. The United States has greatly improved its political, economic and trade relations with Taiwan, strengthened its military cooperation with Taiwan, and continuously challenged the bottom line of the “one-China principle,” which will inevitably aggravate the tension in the Taiwan Strait.

Since President Biden took office, he has continued to increase his efforts to “contain China with Taiwan”. Chinese and US warships have frequently fought in the Taiwan Strait, and the atmosphere of confrontation has increased significantly. At the same time, the United States is constantly promoting the evolution of “strategic ambiguity” towards Taiwan in the direction of “strategic clarity”, which is very likely to be kidnapped and used by the Taiwan authorities. Because the United States continues to concoct various Taiwan-related bills, promote large-scale arms sales to Taiwan, and even plan to provide tens of billions of dollars of so-called “military aid” to Taiwan in the next five years. The misjudgment by the English-language authorities mistakenly believed that “using Taiwan to control China” was support for “Taiwan independence.”

According to US media sources, although President Biden has promised that the United States will not support “Taiwan independence”, “two Chinas” and “one China, one Taiwan”, the United States is not monolithic, but has fallen into deep political confrontation and conflict. Split. McCarthy, the new speaker of the US House of Representatives, has already finalized the time for his trip to Taiwan and is expected to start his trip this spring. The US military has already started making security and logistical preparations for this trip. In early August last year, Pelosi insisted on visiting Taiwan regardless of her background’s repeated opposition. The People’s Liberation Army held multiple days of large-scale blockades and live-fire exercises in various sea and air areas around Taiwan, which dealt a heavy blow to “Taiwan independence” elements and external interference forces. arrogance.

However, American politicians are not reconciled to the failure of provocative actions and are trying to make a comeback. McCarthy is a notorious anti-China element. He not only publicly supported Pelosi’s escape to Taiwan, but also threatened that if elected speaker of the US House of Representatives, he would also visit Taiwan to show his “rock-solid” commitment to Taiwan. American media commented that although Pelosi and McCarthy have tit-for-tat political stances and may be at the left and right extremes of the American political spectrum, they have a high degree of consensus on “using Taiwan to control China.” After McCarthy became the speaker of the House of Representatives, he pushed hard to establish a “China Special Committee” in the House of Representatives, which was approved by a vote of 365 in favor and 65 against. Therefore, McCarthy’s escape has almost become a certainty.

However, in view of Pelosi’s escape to Taiwan, both the United States and Taiwan have paid a huge price, which also makes McCarthy’s visit to Taiwan face setbacks. Before Pelosi fled to Taiwan, the Biden administration was not very enthusiastic about her plan to flee Taiwan because it was worried that it would force the mainland to rebound strongly, and even accelerate the process of “anti-independence and promoting reunification”. Pentagon officials also reminded Pelosi to flee Taiwan may face risks, but the latter still persisted and arrived in Taipei for a visit. To this end, the People’s Liberation Army immediately held large-scale actual combat exercises around Taiwan Island. Ships and planes flew over the so-called “central line of the strait,” and ballistic missiles flew over Taipei. Nothing, the “Taiwan independence” separatist forces can’t steal chickens and lose rice.

At the same time, China also announced the adoption of 8 countermeasures against the United States, and the moves hit the United States’ pain points. Pelosi and her immediate family have also been severely sanctioned by China. It is almost certain that if McCarthy follows Pelosi’s example of going to Taiwan, the mainland’s response to rights protection may be more determined. And shocking countermeasures”, including the use of drones to cross the main island of Taiwan, implement a more complete and effective blockade of the island of Taiwan, and continue to expand the scope of air control to the main island of Taiwan, even if the process of “armed reunification” is not started or the United States is torn apart. It is a disgrace, but in the face of the continuous increase in provocations by the United States and Taiwan, the possibility of Sino-US relations being subverted is not completely non-existent. As the “most dangerous place in the world”, the Taiwan Strait is likely to be pushed to a dangerous cliff again.

It is worth mentioning that Tsai Ing-wen uncharacteristically called for avoiding war, and emphasized that military confrontation is by no means an option for cross-Strait relations, which also reveals her aggressive nature. However, considering the US-Taiwan collusion and provocation, these remarks are more like a posturing, thus shifting the responsibility for causing tension in the Taiwan Strait to the mainland, which means that the Taiwan authorities will not oppose McCarthy’s escape to Taiwan. In view of McCarthy’s stubborn ideological prejudice, and in order to seize political power and interests and fulfill his promise, it is inevitable that he will flee to Taiwan. Therefore, the U.S. military has already begun preparations to “escort” its trip to Taiwan.

Some point out that the U.S. is adopting a two-pronged policy of “engagement + containment” toward China. While using the Taiwan issue to put pressure on China and force the mainland to make compromises and concessions in the Sino-U.S. trade war, it is trying to maintain the fundamentals of Sino-U.S. relations. Peace and stability, and Blinken’s visit to China has been finalized to avoid a head-to-head confrontation between the two sides, or even an ultimate showdown. For this reason, we must also be prepared for both hands. It is true that everyone is happy if we can negotiate a result, but it is equally important to be prepared for military struggle. In a word, if someone wants to separate Taiwan, we will do whatever it takes, and we will do whatever it takes to fight. If we don’t win, there is absolutely no possibility of withdrawing our troops!